Fall Foliage With TR27: A PROPER start to October!

By
A PROPER start to October!

Update 31 of the 2025 season of Fall Foliage With TR27

10.01.25

October 1st's weather was ABSOLUTELY perfect to start off October with highs in the upper 60s and near-total sunshine and October 2nd will be a repeat with temps around average in the mid-60s with lots of sunshine once again. In fact, the entire forecast through the end of the expected heat on October 7 is expected to be dry with lots of sunshine and WAY above average temps, in fact, let's get to that right now!

Here's the summary and fall foliage pics below:

For day 31:

High: 69°F
Average: 67°F
(+2)

This was a pitch-perfect day to start the month! So far, we haven't had any exactly normal high days, but that doesn't rule out the possibility of one occurring between October 2 and the end of the documentation period on December 31! Today was peak with lots of sunshine, a BIG breeze (especially around 3 PM, it was WINDY!) and seasonable temps. We repeat that October 2 and then it's back to summer after that! In fact, 65-70 isn't really true fall, that's still in-between season, which seems to be taking forever!

The expected forecast from 10/2-10/15:
10/2: 🌤️ 66/37
10/3: ⛅ 74/43
10/4: 🌤️ 80/49
10/5: ☀️ 83/50 *86 for the pink tier!
10/6: 🌤️ 84/52 *86 for the pink tier!
10/7: ⛅ 83/56 *85 for the pink tier!
10/8: 🌧️ 67/40 (59%)
10/9: ☀️ 63/34
10/10: 🌤️ 65/40
10/11: 🌧️ 68/43 (48%)
10/12: 🌧️ 65/42 (45%)
10/13: ⛅ 67/43
10/14: ⛅ 68/44
10/15: ⛅ 67/44

This forecast seems rather problematic, especially the October 4-7 period, but after that, it cools down to where we should be, almost. Beginning October 8, it looks like the highs will stabilize in the 60s, but by October 8, the average high falls to 64, and by October 15, it falls to 61, so this runs average to around 7 degrees above average, a huge improvement over the Oct 4-7 period, but the damage might already be done by then, especially since that's a time period we haven't even got to yet and further west of us, temps are expected to be closer to 90 during that timeframe, so that isn't out of the question either since there's a few days to go, but it looks like 83/84 might be a bit high of an estimate because the NWS maxes out at around 82 for that timeframe, either way, we're looking at temps right around +20 for 3 days straight, which is BAD. The warmest anomaly in September was +18 on the 28th and that was enough to send the highs throughout the entire month to just shy of 6°F above average, more than 3°C, or DOUBLE the climate change threshold of 1.5°C/2.7°F!

Here's the main pic and fall foliage pics taken 10/1/25:






















Gee, lots of green for the start of October!







Downtown Northampton's looking a lot better!














October 1 and Mt. Tom's is still running under their summer hours! I'm honestly not surprised and given it's gonna be in the 80s again starting this weekend, I feel like they're going to keep their summer hours until Indigenous People's Day weekend! I might be wrong, but I might be right as well! (I'm not complaining, but I want to note that the usual time they switch to shorter hours is late September and we're past that now!)


These aren't changing anytime soon!













You can tell we're already losing the 6 PM daylight at this point! By Halloween, it'll be half dark at 6! And a week after THAT, it'll be FULLY dark at 6!

October 2 looks to be a repeat of October 1, but October 3 and especially the 4th to the 7th? NOPE! Summer lovers, you get yet ANOTHER weekend to enjoy! See you for October 2nd's update!

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Fall Foliage With TR27: Back To Normal (09.08.25)

By
Image
Back To Normal Update 8 of the 2025 season of Fall Foliage With TR27 09.08.25 Today's weather was absolutely gorgeous after the crazy weekend we had that brought TORNADOES to Massachusetts! Keep in mind that we aren't tornado alley, these events are NOT common here in the Northeast, and when they happen, it's almost a freak occurrence! Here's the summary and fall foliage pics below: For today, day 8: High: 77°F Average: 76°F (+1) Today brought us back to normal weather and the pattern we had before the severe weather outbreak on Saturday, 9/6. Bring on the gorgeous weather once again! The expected forecast from 9/9-9/22: 9/9: ☀️ 74/ 49 9/10: 🌧️ 71/ 49 (40%) 9/11: 🌤️ 80/50 9/12: ☀️ 75/ 47 9/13: ⛅ 76/51 9/14: ⛅ 76/54 9/15: 🌧️ 74/51 (34%) 9/16: ⛅ 76/50 9/17: ⛅ 75/50 9/18: ⛅ 71/49 9/19: ⛅ 72/48 9/20: ⛅ 74/50 9/21: ⛅ 76/52 9/22: ⛅ 74/50 I notice a warmup pretty much right at the equinox from low 70s to mid-70s. Since the forecast has now reached the autumnal equinox (9/2...
Read more

Fall Foliage With TR27: Where's The Cooldown? (09.17.25)

By
Image
Where's The Cooldown? Update 17 of the 2025 season of Fall Foliage With TR27 09.17.25 This weather lends the question: Where's The Cooldown? As I've said nearly every day for the past 16 days, it's nowhere to be found! In fact, the latest forecast shows a cooldown this weekend, but "only" down to the low 70s (9/20 MIGHT get stuck in the 60s, but it would almost be 70 if it doesn't get to 70, which is basically average for this time of year), and right after that, during the week of the equinox, we get BACK to the 80s as highs right AFTER the equinox and after THAT, we "only" fall to the low-to-mid 70s. By this time of year, we should start to struggle hitting 70, but it looks like the last 2 weeks of September will not only hit 70 but 80 as well on numerous occasions, and the first day of October is currently expected to be 75, and though that's 14 days out, that's 8°F above average, SERIOUSLY worrying in terms of the climate! We are TOTA...
Read more

Fall Foliage With TR27: First Fall Outing (09.18.25)

By
Image
First Fall Outing Update 18 of the 2025 season of Fall Foliage With TR27 09.18.25 Today was the first day since last fall that I actually did a fall activity, and that was apple picking! However, with lots of sunshine and temps in the lower 80s, it felt more like summer, but then again, it IS technically summer until the 22nd. By this point, we SHOULD be cooling down but the fall cooldown is NOT here and it's nowhere to be found, in fact, it looks like going into the beginning of October, it is going to get WARMER. I'm sorry, WHAT?! Yeah, we're totally screwed in terms of the climate but hey, enjoy the nice weather! Here's the summary and fall foliage pics below: For today, day 18: High: 85°F Average: 72°F (+13) Let's take a look at the highs in the 2nd half of September (16-30) in 2023, 2024 and 2025 (Sep 16-18 actual highs, 19-30 expected highs) so you can see what I'm talking about. We'll keep it simple so no colorized highs or anything like that, just th...
Read more